Oct 27, 2020
Theoryhttps://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2020/10/26/noreally--_dont_pay_attention_to_early_voting_data_144527.html
“For example, we can look at North Carolina, and see that Democrats have a 10.5-percentage-point lead over Republicans in early voting. That seems great for Democrats.
But we could also contextualize this by noting that at a similar point in 2016, Democrats had a 13.1-percentage-point lead there in early voting. In other words, Democrats are doing worse than they were at this point four years ago (and much worse than they were in 2012).
You can see similar stories developing in Florida and Nevada, where you can make a case that things look roughly the same as they did about a week out from Election Day in 2016”
There are definitely more people voting early this time like you pointed out in the last post, but the question is how significant is it. Democrats historically lead early voting, and Trump is actively telling people to vote in person. I saw in Florida that democrats led early voting by over 500,000 votes, but that in person early voting (which started later) republicans lead by 230,000 votes.
The big thing imo is that there have been huge boosts in the numbers of young voters sending in early votes compared to 2016
And the number of mail in votes in general this year are more than pretty much any other election. This election may end up having a higher turnout than 2008 and 2012 even.
Oct 27, 2020Theoryhttps://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2020/10/26/noreally--_dont_pay_attention_to_early_voting_data_144527.html
“For example, we can look at North Carolina, and see that Democrats have a 10.5-percentage-point lead over Republicans in early voting. That seems great for Democrats.
But we could also contextualize this by noting that at a similar point in 2016, Democrats had a 13.1-percentage-point lead there in early voting. In other words, Democrats are doing worse than they were at this point four years ago (and much worse than they were in 2012).
You can see similar stories developing in Florida and Nevada, where you can make a case that things look roughly the same as they did about a week out from Election Day in 2016”
There are definitely more people voting early this time like you pointed out in the last post, but the question is how significant is it. Democrats historically lead early voting, and Trump is actively telling people to vote in person. I saw in Florida that democrats led early voting by over 500,000 votes, but that in person early voting (which started later) republicans lead by 230,000 votes.
- Oct 27, 2020
- Oct 27, 2020
this rlly says hunter biden 😭😭😭
Oct 27, 2020·1 reply
Oct 27, 2020Bill AckmanThe US has it flaws as does every single nation but to state it is a “failing nation” is both ridiculous and ignorant as f***
right, just wanna trash America cuz it's trendy
Oct 27, 2020
- Oct 27, 2020·2 repliesTheory
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2020/10/26/noreally--_dont_pay_attention_to_early_voting_data_144527.html
“For example, we can look at North Carolina, and see that Democrats have a 10.5-percentage-point lead over Republicans in early voting. That seems great for Democrats.
But we could also contextualize this by noting that at a similar point in 2016, Democrats had a 13.1-percentage-point lead there in early voting. In other words, Democrats are doing worse than they were at this point four years ago (and much worse than they were in 2012).
You can see similar stories developing in Florida and Nevada, where you can make a case that things look roughly the same as they did about a week out from Election Day in 2016”
There are definitely more people voting early this time like you pointed out in the last post, but the question is how significant is it. Democrats historically lead early voting, and Trump is actively telling people to vote in person. I saw in Florida that democrats led early voting by over 500,000 votes, but that in person early voting (which started later) republicans lead by 230,000 votes.
So this really could go anyway
- Oct 27, 2020
rip armani xWhat you said is objectively false
You're literally just lying
kicked him out the thread with this one
Oct 27, 2020·1 reply
- Oct 27, 2020·edited·1 replyVile
You should delete that, man. Pretty sure it’s a misdemeanor to post photos of a ballot in NY.
just lookin out for ya
funny pic tho that’s great
- Oct 27, 2020
Noah FancysonHave you seen those vids of Biden being touchy with young girls? Pretty damning
I voted for him because I do believe he is the lesser of two evils, but I still think he's very likely involved in some elite pedophile s***
Well when you consider the fact that Biden lost his 1 year old daughter (and wife) in a car accident in the 70s and then lost his closest son Beau to brain cancer in 2016, I think you can put the creepy Joe pedo s*** to rest
When you’re a public figure you constantly have cameras on you and it’s bound to happen where you get “caught” looking weird
I think the biggest issue I have with this claim that people use of him being a pedo is random ppl online have more of an issue with it than the kids parents lol delawareonline.com/story/news/2019/04/01/coons-addresses-photo-biden-daughter-during-2015-swearing/3333267002
He needs to be more respectful of personal space but obviously he just loves children in a time where loving children is automatically associated with being a creep. He’s not a creep lol
Biden served 2 terms as VP for a black president. If he was actually a pedo they would’ve been all over it from the jump lmao. He has literally no scandals or baggage and that’s the biggest issue Trump has faced. Guy has been thoroughly vetted before and there’s nothing they can drag him on
- Oct 27, 2020
I am so f***ing fired up for all the change twitter keeps telling me a politician whos been in office for half a century will make to my life
Oct 27, 2020beast444So this really could go anyway
barring a huge development, this s*** is over.
- Oct 27, 2020
Imagine Lindsay Graham voted out of the Senate
I don’t think it’s gonna happen but he’s getting spooked
Oct 27, 2020·2 repliesS*** lookin exactly like 2016 to be real, everyone said Hilary had it locked up.
- Oct 27, 2020Goldmenace
S*** lookin exactly like 2016 to be real, everyone said Hilary had it locked up.
