Russo-Ukrainian War

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  • Feb 27, 2022

    Kinda an interesting read considering Putin's last speech

    thebulletin.org/premium/2022-02/nuclear-notebook-how-many-nuclear-weapons-does-russia-have-in-2022

    This part especially:

    What is Russia’s nuclear strategy?

    The international debate about Russia’s nuclear strategy has reached a new level of intensity, particularly after the Trump administration published its Nuclear Posture Review in February 2018. The Nuclear Posture Review claimed that “Russian strategy and doctrine emphasize the potential coercive and military uses of nuclear weapons. It mistakenly assesses that the threat of nuclear escalation or actual first use of nuclear weapons would serve to ‘de-escalate’ a conflict on terms favorable to Russia” (US Defense Department 2018, 8). Specifically, the document claimed, “Moscow threatens and exercises limited nuclear first use, suggesting a mistaken expectation that coercive nuclear threats or limited first use could paralyze the United States and NATO and thereby end a conflict on terms favorable to Russia.” This so-called “escalate to de-escalate” doctrine “follows from Moscow’s mistaken assumption of Western capitulation on terms favorable to Moscow” (US Defense Department 2018, 30).

    The former head of the US Strategic Command, Gen. John Hyten, reacted to “Russia’s destabilizing doctrine on what some call escalate to deescalate” by saying: “I really hate that discussion. I’ve looked at the Russian doctrine. I’ve looked at Russian writings. It’s not escalate to de-escalate, it’s escalate to win. Everybody needs to understand that” (Hyten 2017). Some have suggested that Russian leaders are signaling a willingness to use nuclear weapons even before an adversary retaliates against a Russian conventional attack by “employing the threat of selective and limited use of nuclear weapons to forestall opposition to potential aggression” (emphasis added) (Miller 2015). The implication is that Russia would potentially use nuclear weapons first to scare an adversary into not even defending itself.

    Such characterizations conflict with Russia’s publicly stated policy. In June 2020, President Putin approved an update to the “Basic Principles of State Policy of the Russian Federation on Nuclear Deterrence,” which notes that “The Russian Federation considers nuclear weapons exclusively as a means of deterrence.” The policy lays out four conditions under which Russia could launch nuclear weapons:

    • “arrival of reliable data on a launch of ballistic missiles attacking the territory of the Russian Federation and/or its allies;
    • use of nuclear weapons or other types of weapons of mass destruction by an adversary against the Russian Federation and/or its allies;
    • attack by adversary against critical governmental or military sites of the Russian Federation, disruption of which would undermine nuclear forces response actions;
    • and aggression against the Russian Federation with the use of conventional weapons when the very existence of the state is in jeopardy” (Russian Federation Foreign Affairs Ministry 2020).

    The document’s emphasis on deterrence by punishment, as well as the “defensive” nature of Russia’s nuclear weapons, is likely intended to be a response to the aforementioned US claims of a Russian “escalate-to-deescalate” policy. The updated policy is also consistent with remarks that President Putin made to the Valdai Club in October 2018, when he stated that “Our nuclear weapons doctrine does not provide for a pre-emptive strike.” Rather, he continued, “our concept is based on a reciprocal counter strike … This means that we are prepared and will use nuclear weapons only when we know for certain that some potential aggressor is attacking Russia, our territory” (Russian Federation 2018a). This is additionally consistent with previous iterations of Russian nuclear policy, which has largely remained unchanged since President Putin came to power in 2000 (Russian Federation 2014, 2010). Although some initial reports interpreted Putin’s 2018 Valdai Club comments to mean that Russia might be adopting a nuclear no-first-use policy, this does not seem to be the case; his remarks were more likely meant to respond to the US Nuclear Posture Review’s claim that Russia has lowered its threshold for first use of nuclear weapons in a conflict (Stowe-Thurston, Korda, and Kristensen 2018). Because Putin’s comments imply that Russia would only use nuclear weapons in retaliation against an existential threat, independent a***ysts have challenged the Nuclear Posture Review’s characterization of the Russian strategy as overblown and a misreading of Russia’s nuclear doctrine.2

    Whatever Russia’s nuclear strategy is, Russian officials have made many statements about nuclear weapons that appear to go beyond the published doctrine, threatening to potentially use them in situations that do not meet the conditions described. For example, officials explicitly threatened to use nuclear weapons against ballistic missile defense facilities, and in regional scenarios that do not threaten Russia’s survival or involve attacks with weapons of mass destruction (The Local 2015).

  • Feb 27, 2022
    Super Mario

    just saying that great autonomy came with a big price

    For sure

  • Feb 27, 2022
    Jody

    Feels good?

    Truly.

  • KEV 🧊
    Feb 27, 2022
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    1 reply
    be2sane

    It’s not a small militia or group that are nazi linked

    Watch this if you have time fam

    !https://youtu.be/Xt3Zv-e4n1M

    and now you link me a youtube video of a guy that supports Trump

    Trump is also the same guys that tried to do everything he could to help Russia while he was in power

    I'm not even 3 minutes in and this guy is talking about how the US is bombing Yemen, I don't support US aggression just like I'm not supporting Russian one, this is not about USA

  • Feb 27, 2022
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    1 reply
    Lord Quas

    Prob old, but Putin just ordered his nuclear deterrent forces to be on "High alert".

  • Feb 27, 2022
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    3 replies

    Hearing Russia's economy will collapse tomorrow

  • Feb 27, 2022
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    1 reply
    Lord Quas

    Prob old, but Putin just ordered his nuclear deterrent forces to be on "High alert".

    Hes feeling the pressure of sanctions and Ukranian resistance. He isn't gonna do s*** with these nukes

  • Feb 27, 2022
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    3 replies
    KEV

    and now you link me a youtube video of a guy that supports Trump

    Trump is also the same guys that tried to do everything he could to help Russia while he was in power

    I'm not even 3 minutes in and this guy is talking about how the US is bombing Yemen, I don't support US aggression just like I'm not supporting Russian one, this is not about USA

    Jimmy Dore supports Trump? Lmaooo he’s left leaning fam how did you even arrive at that conclusion?

    Watch further he mentions the nazi infiltrant groups

  • Feb 27, 2022
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    1 reply
    SlicedBread

    Hearing Russia's economy will collapse tomorrow

    Within the month

  • Feb 27, 2022
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    2 replies
    SUPER BOWL SOSS
    https://twitter.com/KyivIndependent/status/1497952344176267267

    So it's pretty much a game of cat & mouse?

    He's bluffing to apply pressure?

  • Feb 27, 2022
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    2 replies
    be2sane

    Jimmy Dore supports Trump? Lmaooo he’s left leaning fam how did you even arrive at that conclusion?

    Watch further he mentions the nazi infiltrant groups

    If conservatives said that climate change was real @Kev would say it’s actually fake by tomorrow morning

  • Feb 27, 2022
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    2 replies
    Dedication 666

    What are chechens? Is it just an ethnic group?

    Russian Muslims, their ethnicity is Chechen. Other Russian ethnicities which follow Islam are Dagestanis (Khabib), Tabasarans, Rutuls, Lezgins, Avars & Circassians.

    Also, most wrestlers that fight for Russia in the olympics are from their Caucus region (Chechnya/Dagestan).

  • Lord Quas

    So it's pretty much a game of cat & mouse?

    He's bluffing to apply pressure?

    Seems to be the case

  • Feb 27, 2022
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    1 reply
    americana

    If conservatives said that climate change was real @Kev would say it’s actually fake by tomorrow morning

    Lmaooo is he that reactionary? Omg

  • Feb 27, 2022
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    5 replies
  • Feb 27, 2022
    be2sane

    Lmaooo is he that reactionary? Omg

    Looks the part

  • Feb 27, 2022
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    1 reply
    Dedication 666

    What are chechens? Is it just an ethnic group?

    Chechens are quirked up white boys with a little bit of swag busting it down Islamic style.. but are they goated with the sauce?

  • Feb 27, 2022
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    1 reply
    americana

    Within the month

    Nah they're saying tomorrow when stocks open

  • Feb 27, 2022
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    1 reply
    SlicedBread

    Hearing Russia's economy will collapse tomorrow

    We’re all going to feel the effects of this economic warfare on Russia

  • Feb 27, 2022
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    1 reply
    TragedyBerlusconi
    https://twitter.com/KyivIndependent/status/1497895706568237056

    706 APCs is inane thats nearly a month of production

  • Feb 27, 2022
  • Feb 27, 2022
    SlicedBread

    Nah they're saying tomorrow when stocks open

    Let’s see

  • Feb 27, 2022
    Sufi

    We’re all going to feel the effects of this economic warfare on Russia

    Already are tbh

  • Feb 27, 2022
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    2 replies
    be2sane

    Jimmy Dore supports Trump? Lmaooo he’s left leaning fam how did you even arrive at that conclusion?

    Watch further he mentions the nazi infiltrant groups

    Jimmy Dore has lost it tho

    I knew about him since his tyt days long ago but he rly is a grifter now

    Aaron Mate is great tho, also shoutout to his father Gabor Mate he a goat

  • TragedyBerlusconi
    https://twitter.com/KyivIndependent/status/1497895706568237056

    706