What a p****
Even Golda stood on business

Thanks for ktt. Hope I’m too old to get drafted otherwise I’ll have a ktt patch ironed on

You making me look bad

Netanyahu would never stand on business, man is a f***in p****

Not letting up at all

turn the zionist entity to a pile of ash

But I thought they were weak guys???

they're giant morons

am i safe in mexico city (english speaking neighborhood)?

yes, better to let palestinians all be killed for pragmatic geopolitical reasons 🤓

shut up nerd

lfg

nothing new:

May 4, 2025 — Iran publicly debuts a new medium‑range solid‑fuel missile, the "Qassem Bassir", boasting a 1,200 km range and enhanced precision, and warns that regional U.S. bases would be legitimate targets if attacked .

Thoughts on this?

Based on this escalation pattern, here's my a***ysis of likely developments:

Immediate Aftermath (June 14-30, 2025)

Iranian Response Calculus: Iran faces a critical decision point. The strikes on nuclear facilities and loss of senior commanders demand response, but direct confrontation risks regime survival. Expect:

• Activation of the "Ring of Fire" strategy: Coordinated proxy attacks from Iraq (PMF militias), Syria, Lebanon (whatever remains of Hezbollah), and Yemen
• Cyber operations targeting Israeli critical infrastructure, particularly water and power systems
• Closure threat to Strait of Hormuz - not full closure but harassment operations to spike oil prices above $100/barrel

Israeli Preparations: Israel will likely shift to a sustained campaign posture:

• Mobilization of additional reserve brigades
• Pre-positioning for potential ground operations in Lebanon
• Enhanced missile defense deployments

July-August 2025: The Nuclear Threshold

Iranian Nuclear Sprint: With facilities damaged but program exposed, Iran faces a "use it or lose it" moment:

• Potential expulsion of remaining IAEA inspectors
• Race to 90% enrichment (weapons-grade)
• Possible withdrawal from NPT
• Timeline to breakout: 3-6 months

U.S. Decision Point: The Biden administration (or successor) faces its biggest Middle East test:

• Military options: B-2 strikes on hardened facilities, deployment of additional carrier groups
• Diplomatic scramble through Oman, Qatar channels
• Pressure on China to enforce sanctions

Regional Realignment (September-December 2025)

Saudi-Iranian Dynamics: The Saudi-Iran détente collapses:

• Saudis quietly coordinate with Israel on intelligence sharing
• ARAMCO facilities go to maximum security
• Potential Saudi nuclear acceleration with Pakistani assistance

Turkish Opportunism: Erdogan exploits the chaos:

• Moves against Kurdish positions in Syria/Iraq while world distracted
• Positions as mediator while secretly enabling Iranian sanctions evasion

Russian-Chinese Calculations:

• Russia provides advanced air defense systems to Iran (S-400s)
• China faces choice between Iranian oil and U.S. financial system
• Both use crisis to challenge U.S. hegemony while avoiding direct involvement

Potential Trigger Points for Wider War

1. Iranian nuclear test or threshold announcement
2. Successful Iranian strike causing mass Israeli casualties
3. Israeli strike killing Supreme Leader or President
4. U.S. military casualties from proxy attacks
5. Closure of Strait of Hormuz

Most Likely Scenario (60% probability)

Controlled Escalation: Both sides engage in calibrated strikes while avoiding total war:

• Iran accelerates nuclear program but stops short of breakout
• Israel conducts periodic strikes but avoids regime decapitation
• Regional proxies maintain pressure without triggering massive retaliation
• Oil prices stabilize around $85-95
• Conflict becomes "normalized" like Syria

High-Impact, Lower Probability Scenarios

Iranian Nuclear Breakout (25%): Iran announces nuclear weapons capability, triggering:

• Immediate Israeli attempt at military solution
• U.S. intervention
• Saudi/Turkish/Egyptian nuclear programs
• New Middle East nuclear arms race

Regime Change Attempt (15%): Internal Iranian protests exploited:

• IRGC splits as economy collapses
• Israel/U.S. support opposition
• Risk of Syria-style civil war
• Revolutionary Guard coup possibility

Key Indicators to Watch

• Iranian uranium enrichment levels (approaching 90% = red line)
• Oil prices (sustained above $100 = economic warfare)
• Russian/Chinese military deployments to region
• Israeli cabinet meetings on "special security matters"
• U.S. force deployments beyond normal rotations

The next 6-12 months represent the most dangerous period in Middle East since 1973, with nuclear proliferation risks at historic highs.

i mean there’s a clear difference in terms of escalation in the region that makes the current threat more plausible

Bruh I don't want ww3 to happen. Good gracious this Friday the 13th is wilf

My nigga still here

Niggas was making my stomach turn acting like that

me neither but i can't deny iran's well deserved right to retribution

Thanks for making ktt run on low data

I will not be going to war for Israel now thats for sure

Its running on another kind of data bro

famous words of many westerners before they get drafted and die in butfuck nowhere ME