According to a new report from Harvard researchers, we may be social distancing for awhile to help mitigate COVID-19.
Earlier this afternoon, we reported on the downright scary news that apparently, Coronavirus has the ability to be transmitted even via a dead person. As scientists and researchers around the world race to come up with some sort of vaccine or treatment for the virus that is spreading at an astounding rate, a group of researchers at Harvard are saying we may need to social distance for a couple of years to come to stop the spread.
Researchers from Harvard's T.H. Chan School of Public Health released a study in the Science journal that projects the transmission rate for COVID-19 post-pandemic, or rather, after the most severe wave of the pandemic, over the course of the next five years. The computer model looked at aspects like whether or not the virus is seasonal, and how long immunity lasts in recovered patients, and more to come to the decision that the virus will not be eliminated any time soon.
Based on the researchers' projections, they're claiming we may need to be social distancing from time to time until at least 2022, possibly 2024, in order to alleviate the pressure on hospitals etc, similar to our efforts right now.
The abstract for the paper reads, "Absent other interventions, a key metric for the success of social distancing is whether critical care capacities are exceeded. To avoid this, prolonged or intermittent social distancing may be necessary into 2022 ... Even in the event of apparent elimination, SARS-CoV-2 surveillance should be maintained since a resurgence in contagion could be possible as late as 2024."
On the flip side, the paper examined how if social distancing measures are too severe and too strict, it could be to the detriment of society-- in the sense that there will be no immunity at all built among the population.
Either way, the researchers are not advising one particular path over the other. "We do not take a position on the advisability of these scenarios given the economic burden that sustained distancing may impose, but we note the potentially catastrophic burden on the healthcare system that is predicted if distancing is poorly effective and-or not sustained for long enough."
Is this taking a vaccine into consideration? Obviously it’ll be a minute before EVERYONE can have access to it even when it’s is being mass produced and distributed, but I imagine by that point there’ll be a combination of a good portion of herd immunity, treatments, and possibly more dependable protective equipment (i.e masks etc).
According to a new report from Harvard researchers, we may be social distancing for awhile to help mitigate COVID-19.
Earlier this afternoon, we reported on the downright scary news that apparently, Coronavirus has the ability to be transmitted even via a dead person. As scientists and researchers around the world race to come up with some sort of vaccine or treatment for the virus that is spreading at an astounding rate, a group of researchers at Harvard are saying we may need to social distance for a couple of years to come to stop the spread.
Researchers from Harvard's T.H. Chan School of Public Health released a study in the Science journal that projects the transmission rate for COVID-19 post-pandemic, or rather, after the most severe wave of the pandemic, over the course of the next five years. The computer model looked at aspects like whether or not the virus is seasonal, and how long immunity lasts in recovered patients, and more to come to the decision that the virus will not be eliminated any time soon.
Based on the researchers' projections, they're claiming we may need to be social distancing from time to time until at least 2022, possibly 2024, in order to alleviate the pressure on hospitals etc, similar to our efforts right now.
The abstract for the paper reads, "Absent other interventions, a key metric for the success of social distancing is whether critical care capacities are exceeded. To avoid this, prolonged or intermittent social distancing may be necessary into 2022 ... Even in the event of apparent elimination, SARS-CoV-2 surveillance should be maintained since a resurgence in contagion could be possible as late as 2024."
On the flip side, the paper examined how if social distancing measures are too severe and too strict, it could be to the detriment of society-- in the sense that there will be no immunity at all built among the population.
Either way, the researchers are not advising one particular path over the other. "We do not take a position on the advisability of these scenarios given the economic burden that sustained distancing may impose, but we note the potentially catastrophic burden on the healthcare system that is predicted if distancing is poorly effective and-or not sustained for long enough."
such a f***ing s*** show
so many different factors with this but it seems that we need to rely on contact tracing, slow gradual opening of economy and social distancing
vaccine wont do s*** in terms of societal / economical issues if it takes a year+ to come into effect
I think if people actually try they’ll find they’ll acclimate it fairly quickly, it’ll become second nature.
Better to practice something that’s a little inconvenient and awkward for a year or two than be f***ing dead or debilitated for who knows how long.
Some of these practices are already second nature in Japan, Hong Kong, South Korea, Singapore, etc. Once things do begin to resemble normality, maybe in a year or two, you probably won't notice all at once.
But the shelter in place thing is temporary. And tbh I trust my state leaders to figure out a good plan forward because they've been so aggressive and responsible from the beginning. Wish I could say the same about the president.
Some of these practices are already second nature in Japan, Hong Kong, South Korea, Singapore, etc. Once things do begin to resemble normality, maybe in a year or two, you probably won't notice all at once.
But the shelter in place thing is temporary. And tbh I trust my state leaders to figure out a good plan forward because they've been so aggressive and responsible from the beginning. Wish I could say the same about the president.
I live in Texas so I wish I could be so confidant
I’m 24, relatively active (hour of running a day, push ups and sit ups), no underlying health conditions that I know of, perfect blood pressure, good immune system (at least I assume so because outside of getting the occasional stomach bug every few years I honestly can’t remember the last time I was actually I’ll), decent heath insurance thanks to my Aunt who works at a VA clinic, and I live in a rural area that’s only 15-20 minutes away from a large suburb area, and less than an hour from Downtown Dallas.
I’m trying to make the best of it even though I’m currently unemployed and living with my 56 year old dad (who’s still working) in a tiny house a little bigger than a bedroom
apartment.
Can’t help but be a bit paranoid about one of us getting sick and bringing it home since there isn’t a whole lot of space though.
There’s no saying how the mutation will act though. There’s a chance it’s weaker etc.
Or it could the spanish flu tier and literally f*** everyone up
Ofc, but even with no mutation there is a huge issue of now having tons of people roaming around with Corona and spreading it
F***ing awful day for deaths in the US and a big increase worldwide.
Cases though...even as we get further from the weekend, the flattening trend continues.
Friday - 33,752
Saturday - 30,003
Sunday - 27,741
Monday - 26,641
Tuesday - 26,945
Italy was in a similar situation at the end of last month...people dying in droves while the curve slowly flattened. It's too early to conclusively say that daily cases have peaked, but if we can stay at this pace for the whole week, it would be a good sign.
Sadly, we're going to see really high death totals for weeks. It takes that long for lower case totals to impact death totals in any meaningful way. Even in Italy, where they have flattened the curve, their daily deaths have only dropped like 40% from the peak. Cases are down 60%.
Holy f***ing s***
"The Treasury Department has ordered President Trump’s name be printed on stimulus checks the Internal Revenue Service is rushing to send to tens of millions of Americans, a process that is expected to slow their delivery by several days, senior agency officials said.
The unprecedented decision, finalized late Monday, means that when recipients open the $1,200 paper checks the IRS is scheduled to begin sending to 70 million Americans in coming days, “President Donald J. Trump” will appear on the left side of the payment."
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/coming-to-your-1200-relief-check-donald-j-trumps-name/2020/04/14/071016c2-7e82-11ea-8013-1b6da0e4a2b7_story.html
It's not even his money
Holy f***ing s***
"The Treasury Department has ordered President Trump’s name be printed on stimulus checks the Internal Revenue Service is rushing to send to tens of millions of Americans, a process that is expected to slow their delivery by several days, senior agency officials said.
The unprecedented decision, finalized late Monday, means that when recipients open the $1,200 paper checks the IRS is scheduled to begin sending to 70 million Americans in coming days, “President Donald J. Trump” will appear on the left side of the payment."
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/coming-to-your-1200-relief-check-donald-j-trumps-name/2020/04/14/071016c2-7e82-11ea-8013-1b6da0e4a2b7_story.html
HAHAHHAHAHHAHAHAHHAHAHAHHAHAH
People act like sheltering in place and closing all public places down is social distancing. It isn't that extreme.
Wearing face masks, standing 6 feet apart in line, limiting restaurant and bar capacity, telecommuting as much as possible, etc are all forms of social distancing. We are NOT going to be forced inside our houses all summer long.
Holy f***ing s***
"The Treasury Department has ordered President Trump’s name be printed on stimulus checks the Internal Revenue Service is rushing to send to tens of millions of Americans, a process that is expected to slow their delivery by several days, senior agency officials said.
The unprecedented decision, finalized late Monday, means that when recipients open the $1,200 paper checks the IRS is scheduled to begin sending to 70 million Americans in coming days, “President Donald J. Trump” will appear on the left side of the payment."
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/coming-to-your-1200-relief-check-donald-j-trumps-name/2020/04/14/071016c2-7e82-11ea-8013-1b6da0e4a2b7_story.html
Holy f***ing s***
"The Treasury Department has ordered President Trump’s name be printed on stimulus checks the Internal Revenue Service is rushing to send to tens of millions of Americans, a process that is expected to slow their delivery by several days, senior agency officials said.
The unprecedented decision, finalized late Monday, means that when recipients open the $1,200 paper checks the IRS is scheduled to begin sending to 70 million Americans in coming days, “President Donald J. Trump” will appear on the left side of the payment."
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/coming-to-your-1200-relief-check-donald-j-trumps-name/2020/04/14/071016c2-7e82-11ea-8013-1b6da0e4a2b7_story.html
jesus christ
According to a new report from Harvard researchers, we may be social distancing for awhile to help mitigate COVID-19.
Earlier this afternoon, we reported on the downright scary news that apparently, Coronavirus has the ability to be transmitted even via a dead person. As scientists and researchers around the world race to come up with some sort of vaccine or treatment for the virus that is spreading at an astounding rate, a group of researchers at Harvard are saying we may need to social distance for a couple of years to come to stop the spread.
Researchers from Harvard's T.H. Chan School of Public Health released a study in the Science journal that projects the transmission rate for COVID-19 post-pandemic, or rather, after the most severe wave of the pandemic, over the course of the next five years. The computer model looked at aspects like whether or not the virus is seasonal, and how long immunity lasts in recovered patients, and more to come to the decision that the virus will not be eliminated any time soon.
Based on the researchers' projections, they're claiming we may need to be social distancing from time to time until at least 2022, possibly 2024, in order to alleviate the pressure on hospitals etc, similar to our efforts right now.
The abstract for the paper reads, "Absent other interventions, a key metric for the success of social distancing is whether critical care capacities are exceeded. To avoid this, prolonged or intermittent social distancing may be necessary into 2022 ... Even in the event of apparent elimination, SARS-CoV-2 surveillance should be maintained since a resurgence in contagion could be possible as late as 2024."
On the flip side, the paper examined how if social distancing measures are too severe and too strict, it could be to the detriment of society-- in the sense that there will be no immunity at all built among the population.
Either way, the researchers are not advising one particular path over the other. "We do not take a position on the advisability of these scenarios given the economic burden that sustained distancing may impose, but we note the potentially catastrophic burden on the healthcare system that is predicted if distancing is poorly effective and-or not sustained for long enough."
when is the world going to hold china responsible for all this?
we've peaked at around 7 deaths in the past 14 days so it's been not that bad at all luckily
No we aren’t
Black and Latino people make up the majority of deaths in the US
Why is that you may ask?
Because we’re the grocery store workers, bus drivers, delivery drivers, janitors, farmers etc while everyone else is chilling watching tiger king “working from home”
It’s no coincidence minorities make up the majority of Americans deaths
the working class is literally dying to keep america functioning and the country just told the only presidential candidate in our lifetime that has cared about the working class to basically f*** off
He can open whatever he wants but it’s my understanding that it’s up to state governors if they want to lift lock down or not, president doesn’t have that authority.
Clearly this meeting is just going to be about getting sports back, based on who is going to be there lol
Still f***ing stupid though